Brookings, the World's most influential think-tank based in
the United States, have projected that, President Jonathan
will emerge victorious over opposition candidate,
Muhammadu Buhari in the 2015 Elections.
The analysis, context and rationale of the think-tank's
projections is contained in the Brookings publication
titled: Foresight Africa – Top Priorities for the continent
(January 2015).
According to Brookings, the (APC) is a fragile anti-Jonathan
establishment with a sole purpose to return power to the
north, and united only in its quest to wrest the presidency
from Jonathan or to have power "returned" to the north.
The APC gets much of its strength from tap- ping into anti-
Jonathan sentiments in the Muslim north, but also hinted
at the possibility of Bola Ahmed Tinubu not delivering the
region contrary to speculations.
On President Jonathan's performance: "despite Boko
Haram, the country is thriving: The economy continues to
grow and with the re- basing of its GDP, became the largest
economy in Africa and the 26th largest in the world.
Jonathan's success in containing the Ebola virus, which
earned him commendations from countries and
institutions around the world is a plus.
The Brookings Report also identified factors such as
incumbency and numerical control of States where PDP
has 21 States and APC only 14 as giving PDP an edge.
Though the election is expected to be very competitive, the
odds still favor President Jonathan, the report stated.
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